UPDATE FOR 30SEPTEMBER
Copper tumbled to an 18-month low, heading for its worst
quarter on record, on concern that a spreading financial crisis
will stifle global growth and slash metals demand.
Lawmakers in the U.S. House of Representatives yesterday
rejected a $700 billion financial rescue plan aimed at loosening
clogged credit markets. The vote eroded investor confidence and
borrowing costs jumped. Copper has plunged 26 percent this quarter,
the biggest drop since at least 1989, as bank failures and a credit
crunch crimped global growth, curbing demand.
``The markets are trying to figure out what all this means for the
economy and the outlook for demand,'' said Ron Goodis, a futures-trading
director at Equidex Brokerage Group Inc. in Closter, New Jersey.
``Copper will probably continue to fall down this treacherous path
because of the economic crisis.''
Copper futures for December delivery sank 3.8 cents, or 1.3 percent,
to $2.8685 a pound at 11:55 a.m. on the Comex division of the
New York Mercantile Exchange. Earlier, the metal touched $2.765, the
lowest since March 12, 2007.
This quarter's drop is the first for the metal this year. Copper has
declined 15 percent in September, the largest monthly decline since
June 1996. The losses follow the metal's 28 percent surge in the
first half of the year, touching a record $4.2605 a pound on May 5.
``Everything for copper is pointing down right now,'' Goodis said.
``Sentiment in this market has really swung around. We saw a great
performance earlier, and now it's made a huge run down. Copper has
really shown that there is no support left for it in this market.''
Housing Slump
Copper has tumbled as the U.S. housing slump has deepened. Builders
are the biggest users of the metal, accounting for about 46 percent of
demand, according to the Copper Development Association.
Home prices in 20 U.S. cities dropped 16 percent in July, the fastest
pace on record, signaling the worst housing recession in a generation
hadn't found a bottom even before the failure of banks and the
government takeover of mortgage financiers Freddie Mac and
Fannie Mae this month, an industry report showed today.
``The outlook for base metals does not look promising going forward,'
' Edward Meir, an analyst at MF Global in Darien, Connecticut, said
today in a report. A global ``synchronized slowdown'' will not be
``a conducive backdrop for commodities to thrive in, and we suspect that
we could see much lower prices.''
On the London Metal Exchange, copper for delivery in three
months dropped $70, or 1.1 percent, to $6,370 a metric ton ($2.89 a pound).
Copper will average $5,000 a metric ton in the first quarter and
betting against the metal is one of the lowest-risk trades in
commodities right now, Barclays Capital said.
Demand for the metal including in China, the world's largest
consumer, is ``very soft,'' London-based Barclays analyst
Kevin Norrish said today in a report.
Tuesday, September 30, 2008
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