UPDATE FOR 30SEPTEMBER
Copper tumbled to an 18-month low, heading for its worst
quarter on record, on concern that a spreading financial crisis
will stifle global growth and slash metals demand.
Lawmakers in the U.S. House of Representatives yesterday
rejected a $700 billion financial rescue plan aimed at loosening
clogged credit markets. The vote eroded investor confidence and
borrowing costs jumped. Copper has plunged 26 percent this quarter,
the biggest drop since at least 1989, as bank failures and a credit
crunch crimped global growth, curbing demand.
``The markets are trying to figure out what all this means for the
economy and the outlook for demand,'' said Ron Goodis, a futures-trading
director at Equidex Brokerage Group Inc. in Closter, New Jersey.
``Copper will probably continue to fall down this treacherous path
because of the economic crisis.''
Copper futures for December delivery sank 3.8 cents, or 1.3 percent,
to $2.8685 a pound at 11:55 a.m. on the Comex division of the
New York Mercantile Exchange. Earlier, the metal touched $2.765, the
lowest since March 12, 2007.
This quarter's drop is the first for the metal this year. Copper has
declined 15 percent in September, the largest monthly decline since
June 1996. The losses follow the metal's 28 percent surge in the
first half of the year, touching a record $4.2605 a pound on May 5.
``Everything for copper is pointing down right now,'' Goodis said.
``Sentiment in this market has really swung around. We saw a great
performance earlier, and now it's made a huge run down. Copper has
really shown that there is no support left for it in this market.''
Housing Slump
Copper has tumbled as the U.S. housing slump has deepened. Builders
are the biggest users of the metal, accounting for about 46 percent of
demand, according to the Copper Development Association.
Home prices in 20 U.S. cities dropped 16 percent in July, the fastest
pace on record, signaling the worst housing recession in a generation
hadn't found a bottom even before the failure of banks and the
government takeover of mortgage financiers Freddie Mac and
Fannie Mae this month, an industry report showed today.
``The outlook for base metals does not look promising going forward,'
' Edward Meir, an analyst at MF Global in Darien, Connecticut, said
today in a report. A global ``synchronized slowdown'' will not be
``a conducive backdrop for commodities to thrive in, and we suspect that
we could see much lower prices.''
On the London Metal Exchange, copper for delivery in three
months dropped $70, or 1.1 percent, to $6,370 a metric ton ($2.89 a pound).
Copper will average $5,000 a metric ton in the first quarter and
betting against the metal is one of the lowest-risk trades in
commodities right now, Barclays Capital said.
Demand for the metal including in China, the world's largest
consumer, is ``very soft,'' London-based Barclays analyst
Kevin Norrish said today in a report.
Tuesday, September 30, 2008
UPDATES ON OCT 1 2008
OCT 1 WEDNESDAY
COPPER
Copper tumbled to an 18-month low, heading for its worst
quarter on record, on concern that a spreading financial
crisis will stifle global growth and slash metals demand.
Copper futures for December delivery sank 3.8 cents, or
1.3 percent, to $2.8685 a pound at 11:55 a.m. on the Comex
division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Earlier, the
metal touched $2.765, the lowest since March 12, 2007.
Copper has tumbled as the U.S. housing slump has deepened.
Builders are the biggest users of the metal, accounting for
about 46 percent of demand, according to the Copper
Development Association.
On the London Metal Exchange, copper for delivery in three
months dropped $70, or 1.1 percent, to $6,370 a metric ton
($2.89 a pound).
ALUMINIUM
Aluminium was the only base metal in the positive territory
despite a big jump in the inventory levels over the past few weks.
Aluminium has support at $ 2400 and resistence at $ 2600.
Aluminium has support at $ 2400 and resistence at $ 2600.
NICKEL
Nickel tumbled to its lowest level since April 2006
and was last at $ 15999 a tonne versus % 16400 on Monday.
Nickel has support at $ 15500 and resistence at $ 18000.
LEAD
Lead fell to $ 1775 / 1790 versus $ 1830.
Zinc
Zinc fell to its six week low before bouncing back to
$ 1775 /1790 .It has support at $ 1700 and resistence at
$ 1900.
COPPER
Copper tumbled to an 18-month low, heading for its worst
quarter on record, on concern that a spreading financial
crisis will stifle global growth and slash metals demand.
Copper futures for December delivery sank 3.8 cents, or
1.3 percent, to $2.8685 a pound at 11:55 a.m. on the Comex
division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Earlier, the
metal touched $2.765, the lowest since March 12, 2007.
Copper has tumbled as the U.S. housing slump has deepened.
Builders are the biggest users of the metal, accounting for
about 46 percent of demand, according to the Copper
Development Association.
On the London Metal Exchange, copper for delivery in three
months dropped $70, or 1.1 percent, to $6,370 a metric ton
($2.89 a pound).
ALUMINIUM
Aluminium was the only base metal in the positive territory
despite a big jump in the inventory levels over the past few weks.
Aluminium has support at $ 2400 and resistence at $ 2600.
Aluminium has support at $ 2400 and resistence at $ 2600.
NICKEL
Nickel tumbled to its lowest level since April 2006
and was last at $ 15999 a tonne versus % 16400 on Monday.
Nickel has support at $ 15500 and resistence at $ 18000.
LEAD
Lead fell to $ 1775 / 1790 versus $ 1830.
Zinc
Zinc fell to its six week low before bouncing back to
$ 1775 /1790 .It has support at $ 1700 and resistence at
$ 1900.
SEPT 30 TUESDAY
COPPER
A further slew of global financial woes coming
to light on Monday morning did little to lend support
to the Londoan Metal Exchange Base metal complex
which saw prices drift down across the board.
Early trade on Monday witnessed a flurry of selling
activity.
A firm dollar dragged down base metal prices on Monday
with copper prices touching a 9 month low as
investors awaited a vote by the US Congress on
the creation of a $ 700 billion government fund to
buy bad debt.
Copper for delivery in 3 months on the London Metal
Exchange was untraded in official rings but quoted at
$ 6550 / 555 a tonne compared with $ 6775 at the close
on Friday.
LEAD
Lead fell more than 5 % to a low of $ 1836a tonne .
It was quoted at $ 1855 / 1860 from $ 1960 on
Friday.
ZINC
Three month Zinc touched $ 1695 a tonne , down
nearly 5 % .It traded at $ 1707 from $ 1770.
NICKEL
Nickel traded at $ 16700 from $ 17000.
ALUMINIUM
Aluminium stocks continue to rise up 2300 tonnes ,
climbing above 1.37 million tonnes for the first
time since early 2004 , enough for 13 days of
world consumption.
Aluminium traded at $ 2460 from $ 2494.
Analyst assessment of weak chinese demand growth
particularly in the domestic housing and auto industries
and across the wider export sextor also weighed on
the market.
COPPER
A further slew of global financial woes coming
to light on Monday morning did little to lend support
to the Londoan Metal Exchange Base metal complex
which saw prices drift down across the board.
Early trade on Monday witnessed a flurry of selling
activity.
A firm dollar dragged down base metal prices on Monday
with copper prices touching a 9 month low as
investors awaited a vote by the US Congress on
the creation of a $ 700 billion government fund to
buy bad debt.
Copper for delivery in 3 months on the London Metal
Exchange was untraded in official rings but quoted at
$ 6550 / 555 a tonne compared with $ 6775 at the close
on Friday.
LEAD
Lead fell more than 5 % to a low of $ 1836a tonne .
It was quoted at $ 1855 / 1860 from $ 1960 on
Friday.
ZINC
Three month Zinc touched $ 1695 a tonne , down
nearly 5 % .It traded at $ 1707 from $ 1770.
NICKEL
Nickel traded at $ 16700 from $ 17000.
ALUMINIUM
Aluminium stocks continue to rise up 2300 tonnes ,
climbing above 1.37 million tonnes for the first
time since early 2004 , enough for 13 days of
world consumption.
Aluminium traded at $ 2460 from $ 2494.
Analyst assessment of weak chinese demand growth
particularly in the domestic housing and auto industries
and across the wider export sextor also weighed on
the market.
Monday, September 29, 2008
UPDATE
UPDATE FOR SEPTEMBER 29
Bank crisis, strong U.S. dollar knock down metals.Copper falls
further after rejection of bailout plan* Aluminium at nine-month
low, lead tumbles 6 percent* CTA selling and firm U.S. dollar
push commodities lower.Copper falls further after rejection of
bailout plan* Aluminium at nine-month low, lead tumbles
6 percent* CTA selling and firm U.S. dollar push commodities
lowerIndustrial metals ran intoadditional liquidation in after-hours
tradeon Monday after aproposed $700 billion financial rescue
packagewas rejected by U.S.lawmakers. The House of Representatives
rejected by a vote of 228-205 a WallStreet bailout bill that would
have authorized the TreasuryDepartment to spend up to
$700 billion to purchase toxic mortgage-backed bonds from
banks in an effort to jump-start stalled capital markets.Copper
for delivery in three months MCU3 on the London MetalExchange
closed down $335 at $6,440 per tonne. After-hours, the metal
fell as low as $6,349.50, its lowest level sincemid-December
2007. In New York, copper for Decemberdelivery HGZ8 plunged
16.80cents, or 5.5 percent, to finishthe session at $2.9065 a lb on
the New York Mercantile Exchange'sCOMEX division. In electronic
business, the contract fell to an18-month low at $2.8530.
Bank crisis, strong U.S. dollar knock down metals.Copper falls
further after rejection of bailout plan* Aluminium at nine-month
low, lead tumbles 6 percent* CTA selling and firm U.S. dollar
push commodities lower.Copper falls further after rejection of
bailout plan* Aluminium at nine-month low, lead tumbles
6 percent* CTA selling and firm U.S. dollar push commodities
lowerIndustrial metals ran intoadditional liquidation in after-hours
tradeon Monday after aproposed $700 billion financial rescue
packagewas rejected by U.S.lawmakers. The House of Representatives
rejected by a vote of 228-205 a WallStreet bailout bill that would
have authorized the TreasuryDepartment to spend up to
$700 billion to purchase toxic mortgage-backed bonds from
banks in an effort to jump-start stalled capital markets.Copper
for delivery in three months MCU3 on the London MetalExchange
closed down $335 at $6,440 per tonne. After-hours, the metal
fell as low as $6,349.50, its lowest level sincemid-December
2007. In New York, copper for Decemberdelivery HGZ8 plunged
16.80cents, or 5.5 percent, to finishthe session at $2.9065 a lb on
the New York Mercantile Exchange'sCOMEX division. In electronic
business, the contract fell to an18-month low at $2.8530.
LME UPDATE
LME INVENTORY UPDATE FOR 29 SEPTEMBER
COPPER DOWN 1250 MT
LEAD DOWN 1175 MT
ZINC DOWN 1125 MT
ALLUMINIUM UP 2200 MT
NICKEL UP 1254 MT
COPPER DOWN 1250 MT
LEAD DOWN 1175 MT
ZINC DOWN 1125 MT
ALLUMINIUM UP 2200 MT
NICKEL UP 1254 MT
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