LME INVENTORY DATA FOR OCTOBER 6
COPPER UP 250 MT, LEAD UP 250 MT,
ZINC DOWN 150 MT, ALLUMINIUM UP 2600 MT,
NICKEL DOWN 318 MT.
Monday, October 6, 2008
Wednesday, October 1, 2008
Tuesday, September 30, 2008
UPDATE
UPDATE FOR 30SEPTEMBER
Copper tumbled to an 18-month low, heading for its worst
quarter on record, on concern that a spreading financial crisis
will stifle global growth and slash metals demand.
Lawmakers in the U.S. House of Representatives yesterday
rejected a $700 billion financial rescue plan aimed at loosening
clogged credit markets. The vote eroded investor confidence and
borrowing costs jumped. Copper has plunged 26 percent this quarter,
the biggest drop since at least 1989, as bank failures and a credit
crunch crimped global growth, curbing demand.
``The markets are trying to figure out what all this means for the
economy and the outlook for demand,'' said Ron Goodis, a futures-trading
director at Equidex Brokerage Group Inc. in Closter, New Jersey.
``Copper will probably continue to fall down this treacherous path
because of the economic crisis.''
Copper futures for December delivery sank 3.8 cents, or 1.3 percent,
to $2.8685 a pound at 11:55 a.m. on the Comex division of the
New York Mercantile Exchange. Earlier, the metal touched $2.765, the
lowest since March 12, 2007.
This quarter's drop is the first for the metal this year. Copper has
declined 15 percent in September, the largest monthly decline since
June 1996. The losses follow the metal's 28 percent surge in the
first half of the year, touching a record $4.2605 a pound on May 5.
``Everything for copper is pointing down right now,'' Goodis said.
``Sentiment in this market has really swung around. We saw a great
performance earlier, and now it's made a huge run down. Copper has
really shown that there is no support left for it in this market.''
Housing Slump
Copper has tumbled as the U.S. housing slump has deepened. Builders
are the biggest users of the metal, accounting for about 46 percent of
demand, according to the Copper Development Association.
Home prices in 20 U.S. cities dropped 16 percent in July, the fastest
pace on record, signaling the worst housing recession in a generation
hadn't found a bottom even before the failure of banks and the
government takeover of mortgage financiers Freddie Mac and
Fannie Mae this month, an industry report showed today.
``The outlook for base metals does not look promising going forward,'
' Edward Meir, an analyst at MF Global in Darien, Connecticut, said
today in a report. A global ``synchronized slowdown'' will not be
``a conducive backdrop for commodities to thrive in, and we suspect that
we could see much lower prices.''
On the London Metal Exchange, copper for delivery in three
months dropped $70, or 1.1 percent, to $6,370 a metric ton ($2.89 a pound).
Copper will average $5,000 a metric ton in the first quarter and
betting against the metal is one of the lowest-risk trades in
commodities right now, Barclays Capital said.
Demand for the metal including in China, the world's largest
consumer, is ``very soft,'' London-based Barclays analyst
Kevin Norrish said today in a report.
Copper tumbled to an 18-month low, heading for its worst
quarter on record, on concern that a spreading financial crisis
will stifle global growth and slash metals demand.
Lawmakers in the U.S. House of Representatives yesterday
rejected a $700 billion financial rescue plan aimed at loosening
clogged credit markets. The vote eroded investor confidence and
borrowing costs jumped. Copper has plunged 26 percent this quarter,
the biggest drop since at least 1989, as bank failures and a credit
crunch crimped global growth, curbing demand.
``The markets are trying to figure out what all this means for the
economy and the outlook for demand,'' said Ron Goodis, a futures-trading
director at Equidex Brokerage Group Inc. in Closter, New Jersey.
``Copper will probably continue to fall down this treacherous path
because of the economic crisis.''
Copper futures for December delivery sank 3.8 cents, or 1.3 percent,
to $2.8685 a pound at 11:55 a.m. on the Comex division of the
New York Mercantile Exchange. Earlier, the metal touched $2.765, the
lowest since March 12, 2007.
This quarter's drop is the first for the metal this year. Copper has
declined 15 percent in September, the largest monthly decline since
June 1996. The losses follow the metal's 28 percent surge in the
first half of the year, touching a record $4.2605 a pound on May 5.
``Everything for copper is pointing down right now,'' Goodis said.
``Sentiment in this market has really swung around. We saw a great
performance earlier, and now it's made a huge run down. Copper has
really shown that there is no support left for it in this market.''
Housing Slump
Copper has tumbled as the U.S. housing slump has deepened. Builders
are the biggest users of the metal, accounting for about 46 percent of
demand, according to the Copper Development Association.
Home prices in 20 U.S. cities dropped 16 percent in July, the fastest
pace on record, signaling the worst housing recession in a generation
hadn't found a bottom even before the failure of banks and the
government takeover of mortgage financiers Freddie Mac and
Fannie Mae this month, an industry report showed today.
``The outlook for base metals does not look promising going forward,'
' Edward Meir, an analyst at MF Global in Darien, Connecticut, said
today in a report. A global ``synchronized slowdown'' will not be
``a conducive backdrop for commodities to thrive in, and we suspect that
we could see much lower prices.''
On the London Metal Exchange, copper for delivery in three
months dropped $70, or 1.1 percent, to $6,370 a metric ton ($2.89 a pound).
Copper will average $5,000 a metric ton in the first quarter and
betting against the metal is one of the lowest-risk trades in
commodities right now, Barclays Capital said.
Demand for the metal including in China, the world's largest
consumer, is ``very soft,'' London-based Barclays analyst
Kevin Norrish said today in a report.
UPDATES ON OCT 1 2008
OCT 1 WEDNESDAY
COPPER
Copper tumbled to an 18-month low, heading for its worst
quarter on record, on concern that a spreading financial
crisis will stifle global growth and slash metals demand.
Copper futures for December delivery sank 3.8 cents, or
1.3 percent, to $2.8685 a pound at 11:55 a.m. on the Comex
division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Earlier, the
metal touched $2.765, the lowest since March 12, 2007.
Copper has tumbled as the U.S. housing slump has deepened.
Builders are the biggest users of the metal, accounting for
about 46 percent of demand, according to the Copper
Development Association.
On the London Metal Exchange, copper for delivery in three
months dropped $70, or 1.1 percent, to $6,370 a metric ton
($2.89 a pound).
ALUMINIUM
Aluminium was the only base metal in the positive territory
despite a big jump in the inventory levels over the past few weks.
Aluminium has support at $ 2400 and resistence at $ 2600.
Aluminium has support at $ 2400 and resistence at $ 2600.
NICKEL
Nickel tumbled to its lowest level since April 2006
and was last at $ 15999 a tonne versus % 16400 on Monday.
Nickel has support at $ 15500 and resistence at $ 18000.
LEAD
Lead fell to $ 1775 / 1790 versus $ 1830.
Zinc
Zinc fell to its six week low before bouncing back to
$ 1775 /1790 .It has support at $ 1700 and resistence at
$ 1900.
COPPER
Copper tumbled to an 18-month low, heading for its worst
quarter on record, on concern that a spreading financial
crisis will stifle global growth and slash metals demand.
Copper futures for December delivery sank 3.8 cents, or
1.3 percent, to $2.8685 a pound at 11:55 a.m. on the Comex
division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Earlier, the
metal touched $2.765, the lowest since March 12, 2007.
Copper has tumbled as the U.S. housing slump has deepened.
Builders are the biggest users of the metal, accounting for
about 46 percent of demand, according to the Copper
Development Association.
On the London Metal Exchange, copper for delivery in three
months dropped $70, or 1.1 percent, to $6,370 a metric ton
($2.89 a pound).
ALUMINIUM
Aluminium was the only base metal in the positive territory
despite a big jump in the inventory levels over the past few weks.
Aluminium has support at $ 2400 and resistence at $ 2600.
Aluminium has support at $ 2400 and resistence at $ 2600.
NICKEL
Nickel tumbled to its lowest level since April 2006
and was last at $ 15999 a tonne versus % 16400 on Monday.
Nickel has support at $ 15500 and resistence at $ 18000.
LEAD
Lead fell to $ 1775 / 1790 versus $ 1830.
Zinc
Zinc fell to its six week low before bouncing back to
$ 1775 /1790 .It has support at $ 1700 and resistence at
$ 1900.
SEPT 30 TUESDAY
COPPER
A further slew of global financial woes coming
to light on Monday morning did little to lend support
to the Londoan Metal Exchange Base metal complex
which saw prices drift down across the board.
Early trade on Monday witnessed a flurry of selling
activity.
A firm dollar dragged down base metal prices on Monday
with copper prices touching a 9 month low as
investors awaited a vote by the US Congress on
the creation of a $ 700 billion government fund to
buy bad debt.
Copper for delivery in 3 months on the London Metal
Exchange was untraded in official rings but quoted at
$ 6550 / 555 a tonne compared with $ 6775 at the close
on Friday.
LEAD
Lead fell more than 5 % to a low of $ 1836a tonne .
It was quoted at $ 1855 / 1860 from $ 1960 on
Friday.
ZINC
Three month Zinc touched $ 1695 a tonne , down
nearly 5 % .It traded at $ 1707 from $ 1770.
NICKEL
Nickel traded at $ 16700 from $ 17000.
ALUMINIUM
Aluminium stocks continue to rise up 2300 tonnes ,
climbing above 1.37 million tonnes for the first
time since early 2004 , enough for 13 days of
world consumption.
Aluminium traded at $ 2460 from $ 2494.
Analyst assessment of weak chinese demand growth
particularly in the domestic housing and auto industries
and across the wider export sextor also weighed on
the market.
COPPER
A further slew of global financial woes coming
to light on Monday morning did little to lend support
to the Londoan Metal Exchange Base metal complex
which saw prices drift down across the board.
Early trade on Monday witnessed a flurry of selling
activity.
A firm dollar dragged down base metal prices on Monday
with copper prices touching a 9 month low as
investors awaited a vote by the US Congress on
the creation of a $ 700 billion government fund to
buy bad debt.
Copper for delivery in 3 months on the London Metal
Exchange was untraded in official rings but quoted at
$ 6550 / 555 a tonne compared with $ 6775 at the close
on Friday.
LEAD
Lead fell more than 5 % to a low of $ 1836a tonne .
It was quoted at $ 1855 / 1860 from $ 1960 on
Friday.
ZINC
Three month Zinc touched $ 1695 a tonne , down
nearly 5 % .It traded at $ 1707 from $ 1770.
NICKEL
Nickel traded at $ 16700 from $ 17000.
ALUMINIUM
Aluminium stocks continue to rise up 2300 tonnes ,
climbing above 1.37 million tonnes for the first
time since early 2004 , enough for 13 days of
world consumption.
Aluminium traded at $ 2460 from $ 2494.
Analyst assessment of weak chinese demand growth
particularly in the domestic housing and auto industries
and across the wider export sextor also weighed on
the market.
Monday, September 29, 2008
UPDATE
UPDATE FOR SEPTEMBER 29
Bank crisis, strong U.S. dollar knock down metals.Copper falls
further after rejection of bailout plan* Aluminium at nine-month
low, lead tumbles 6 percent* CTA selling and firm U.S. dollar
push commodities lower.Copper falls further after rejection of
bailout plan* Aluminium at nine-month low, lead tumbles
6 percent* CTA selling and firm U.S. dollar push commodities
lowerIndustrial metals ran intoadditional liquidation in after-hours
tradeon Monday after aproposed $700 billion financial rescue
packagewas rejected by U.S.lawmakers. The House of Representatives
rejected by a vote of 228-205 a WallStreet bailout bill that would
have authorized the TreasuryDepartment to spend up to
$700 billion to purchase toxic mortgage-backed bonds from
banks in an effort to jump-start stalled capital markets.Copper
for delivery in three months MCU3 on the London MetalExchange
closed down $335 at $6,440 per tonne. After-hours, the metal
fell as low as $6,349.50, its lowest level sincemid-December
2007. In New York, copper for Decemberdelivery HGZ8 plunged
16.80cents, or 5.5 percent, to finishthe session at $2.9065 a lb on
the New York Mercantile Exchange'sCOMEX division. In electronic
business, the contract fell to an18-month low at $2.8530.
Bank crisis, strong U.S. dollar knock down metals.Copper falls
further after rejection of bailout plan* Aluminium at nine-month
low, lead tumbles 6 percent* CTA selling and firm U.S. dollar
push commodities lower.Copper falls further after rejection of
bailout plan* Aluminium at nine-month low, lead tumbles
6 percent* CTA selling and firm U.S. dollar push commodities
lowerIndustrial metals ran intoadditional liquidation in after-hours
tradeon Monday after aproposed $700 billion financial rescue
packagewas rejected by U.S.lawmakers. The House of Representatives
rejected by a vote of 228-205 a WallStreet bailout bill that would
have authorized the TreasuryDepartment to spend up to
$700 billion to purchase toxic mortgage-backed bonds from
banks in an effort to jump-start stalled capital markets.Copper
for delivery in three months MCU3 on the London MetalExchange
closed down $335 at $6,440 per tonne. After-hours, the metal
fell as low as $6,349.50, its lowest level sincemid-December
2007. In New York, copper for Decemberdelivery HGZ8 plunged
16.80cents, or 5.5 percent, to finishthe session at $2.9065 a lb on
the New York Mercantile Exchange'sCOMEX division. In electronic
business, the contract fell to an18-month low at $2.8530.
LME UPDATE
LME INVENTORY UPDATE FOR 29 SEPTEMBER
COPPER DOWN 1250 MT
LEAD DOWN 1175 MT
ZINC DOWN 1125 MT
ALLUMINIUM UP 2200 MT
NICKEL UP 1254 MT
COPPER DOWN 1250 MT
LEAD DOWN 1175 MT
ZINC DOWN 1125 MT
ALLUMINIUM UP 2200 MT
NICKEL UP 1254 MT
Thursday, August 21, 2008
MARKET U[PDATE
MARKET UPDATE FOR 21 AUGUST
U.S. copper futures ended over 4 percent higher
on Thursday as a weaker American currency raised
the appeal of dollar-priced commodities as hedges
against inflation, dealers said.
.
U.S. copper futures ended over 4 percent higher
on Thursday as a weaker American currency raised
the appeal of dollar-priced commodities as hedges
against inflation, dealers said.
.
MARKET UPDATE
MARKET UPDATE 9 PM AUGUST 21
Copper for September delivery HGU8 surged 11.55 cents or
3.4 percent at $3.5145 a lb by 10:30 a.m. EDT (1430 GMT) on
the New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division, its
highest level since Aug. 4, and near its morning peak at $3.5180.
* COMEX estimated futures volume at 9,798 lots by 10:00 a.m.
* "It's the usual suspects this morning -- the dollar and energies."
- Frank Lesh, broker and futures analyst with Future Path
Trading in Chicago.
* The dollar fell across the board as worries mounted over the
health of the U.S. financial sector.
* The U.S. dollar index .DXY, a gauge of its value against
a basket of six major currencies, was on track to post its
worst one-day fall in two months.
* The euro was up 0.6 percent versus the dollar at $1.4834.
Copper for September delivery HGU8 surged 11.55 cents or
3.4 percent at $3.5145 a lb by 10:30 a.m. EDT (1430 GMT) on
the New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division, its
highest level since Aug. 4, and near its morning peak at $3.5180.
* COMEX estimated futures volume at 9,798 lots by 10:00 a.m.
* "It's the usual suspects this morning -- the dollar and energies."
- Frank Lesh, broker and futures analyst with Future Path
Trading in Chicago.
* The dollar fell across the board as worries mounted over the
health of the U.S. financial sector.
* The U.S. dollar index .DXY, a gauge of its value against
a basket of six major currencies, was on track to post its
worst one-day fall in two months.
* The euro was up 0.6 percent versus the dollar at $1.4834
NICKEL UPDATE
NICKEL UPDATE 21 AUGUST
Xstrata PLC said yesterday it has suspended its Falcondo
ferronickel operations in the Dominican Republic after costs
surged and metal prices plunged.
The suspension may last four months, said Zug, Switzerland-
based Xstrata.
The operations produce 29,000 tonnes of nickel a year, equal
to about 2 per cent of world primary nickel production.
Russia's Industrial Metallurgical also reduced output of the
metal by as much as 40 per cent. Nickel rose as much as 4.4
per cent in London.
"The resumption of activities will be assessed based on market
conditions, which are expected to improve towards the end
of 2008," Ian Pearce, chief executive officer of Xstrata's
nickel unit, said in a statement.
The cuts follow lost output this year from labour disputes
and disruptions in Australia and South America. Nickel
supply may match demand in 2008, instead of reaching
a surplus as previously expected, London-based metals
research company CRU said. There was a 96,000 tonne
surplus last year.
Falcondo produces ferronickel, a combination of iron and nickel
used by stainless-steel producers.
Moscow-based Industrial Metallurgical Holding, which produces
about 5 per cent of Russia's total output of the steel-making
ingredient, said present nickel prices make current production
volume unprofitable.
Its cuts are indefinite and the volume will be restored
when prices rise.
Xstrata PLC said yesterday it has suspended its Falcondo
ferronickel operations in the Dominican Republic after costs
surged and metal prices plunged.
The suspension may last four months, said Zug, Switzerland-
based Xstrata.
The operations produce 29,000 tonnes of nickel a year, equal
to about 2 per cent of world primary nickel production.
Russia's Industrial Metallurgical also reduced output of the
metal by as much as 40 per cent. Nickel rose as much as 4.4
per cent in London.
"The resumption of activities will be assessed based on market
conditions, which are expected to improve towards the end
of 2008," Ian Pearce, chief executive officer of Xstrata's
nickel unit, said in a statement.
The cuts follow lost output this year from labour disputes
and disruptions in Australia and South America. Nickel
supply may match demand in 2008, instead of reaching
a surplus as previously expected, London-based metals
research company CRU said. There was a 96,000 tonne
surplus last year.
Falcondo produces ferronickel, a combination of iron and nickel
used by stainless-steel producers.
Moscow-based Industrial Metallurgical Holding, which produces
about 5 per cent of Russia's total output of the steel-making
ingredient, said present nickel prices make current production
volume unprofitable.
Its cuts are indefinite and the volume will be restored
when prices rise.
MARKET UPDATE
MARKET UPDATE AT 5.30 PM ON 21 AUGUST
- Tin jumped more than 5 percent on expectations that supply
from Indonesia, the world's second-largest tin producer after
China, will decline, traders said.
Tinfor three-month delivery on the London Metal Exchange
rose to $21,550 a tonne from a last quote of $20,500/20,505
on Wednesday.
Consultancy ITRI said the global tin supply deficit was forecast
to reach up to 20,000 tonnes in 2008 due to falling supplies from
Indonesia, revising up an earlier estimate of 12,000 tonnes.
- Tin jumped more than 5 percent on expectations that supply
from Indonesia, the world's second-largest tin producer after
China, will decline, traders said.
Tin
rose to $21,550 a tonne from a last quote of $20,500/20,505
on Wednesday.
Consultancy ITRI said the global tin supply deficit was forecast
to reach up to 20,000 tonnes in 2008 due to falling supplies from
Indonesia, revising up an earlier estimate of 12,000 tonnes.
MARKET UPDATE
MARKET UPDATE AT 5 PM ON 21 AUGUST
Copper rose in London, buoyed by a weaker dollar and signs
that China, the world's largest user of the metal, may
increase purchases.
Copper stockpiles earmarked for delivery out of London Metal
Exchange-registered warehouses in South Korea, next to China,
more than tripled to 9,025 metric tons, the exchange said today.
The dollar weakened against the yen and the euro, making
metals cheaper for holders of other currencies.
``There's a growing feeling that the Chinese are ready to
enter the market,'' Daniel Hynes, an analyst at Merrill
Lynch & Co., said today by phone. A jump in canceled
stockpiles ``certainly is showing that demand is going
to pick up.''
Copper for delivery in three months advanced $150, or 2 percent,
to $7,665 a ton as of 9:24 a.m. local time, paring this quarter's
loss to 9.9 percent.
The LME index of 6 industrial metals has lost 11 percent since
the end of June on concern that weakening economies in Europe
and the U.S. may trim demand for metals. Price declines in
nickel, zinc and tin obliged producers to limit or curb output.
Copper rose in London, buoyed by a weaker dollar and signs
that China, the world's largest user of the metal, may
increase purchases.
Copper stockpiles earmarked for delivery out of London Metal
Exchange-registered warehouses in South Korea, next to China,
more than tripled to 9,025 metric tons, the exchange said today.
The dollar weakened against the yen and the euro, making
metals cheaper for holders of other currencies.
``There's a growing feeling that the Chinese are ready to
enter the market,'' Daniel Hynes, an analyst at Merrill
Lynch & Co., said today by phone. A jump in canceled
stockpiles ``certainly is showing that demand is going
to pick up.''
Copper for delivery in three months advanced $150, or 2 percent,
to $7,665 a ton as of 9:24 a.m. local time, paring this quarter's
loss to 9.9 percent.
The LME index of 6 industrial metals has lost 11 percent since
the end of June on concern that weakening economies in Europe
and the U.S. may trim demand for metals. Price declines in
nickel, zinc and tin obliged producers to limit or curb output.
MARKET UPDATE
LME INVENTORY UPDATEAT 1.30 PM
ON 21AUGUST, 2008.
COPPER UP 400TONS, ZINC DOWN 450,
ALLUMINIUM UP 8350, NICKELUP 558,
LEAD UP1325, TIN DOWN 345.
LME NER CANCELLED WARRANTS-COPPER UP 5175,
ZINC DOWN 350, ALLUMINIUM UP 500,NICKEL
UP 114, LEAD UP 1075, TIN DOWN 350.
ON 21AUGUST, 2008.
COPPER UP 400TONS, ZINC DOWN 450,
ALLUMINIUM UP 8350, NICKELUP 558,
LEAD UP1325, TIN DOWN 345.
LME NER CANCELLED WARRANTS-COPPER UP 5175,
ZINC DOWN 350, ALLUMINIUM UP 500,NICKEL
UP 114, LEAD UP 1075, TIN DOWN 350.
Wednesday, August 20, 2008
MARKET UPDATE
MARKET UPDATE FOR 20 AUGUST, 2008
U.S. copper futures ended lower on Wednesday in sympathy with
a negative reversal in crude oil and under pressure from renewed
strength in the U.S. dollar, traders said.
* Copper for September delivery HGU8 settled down 3.15
cents at $3.3970 a lb on the New York Mercantile
Exchange's COMEX division.
* The session range ran from $3.3605 to $3.4845, the contract's
loftiest level since Aug. 4.
*
Technicians see initial resistance in September copper at $3.45,
followed by $3.4750, and then $3.50. Support seen at around
$3.25 and then at last week's low at $3.2185.
* COMEX estimated final futures volume at 18,201 lots, down
from Tuesday's final count at 28,631 lots.
* Open interest fell by 285 lots to 94,900 open contracts
as of Aug. 19.
* Copper relinquishes its early bullish momentum in tandem
with the crude oil, which turned lower after weekly
inventory data showed a larger-than-expected build
in crude stocks
U.S. copper futures ended lower on Wednesday in sympathy with
a negative reversal in crude oil and under pressure from renewed
strength in the U.S. dollar, traders said.
* Copper for September delivery HGU8 settled down 3.15
cents at $3.3970 a lb on the New York Mercantile
Exchange's COMEX division.
* The session range ran from $3.3605 to $3.4845, the contract's
loftiest level since Aug. 4.
*
Technicians see initial resistance in September copper at $3.45,
followed by $3.4750, and then $3.50. Support seen at around
$3.25 and then at last week's low at $3.2185.
* COMEX estimated final futures volume at 18,201 lots, down
from Tuesday's final count at 28,631 lots.
* Open interest fell by 285 lots to 94,900 open contracts
as of Aug. 19.
* Copper relinquishes its early bullish momentum in tandem
with the crude oil, which turned lower after weekly
inventory data showed a larger-than-expected build
in crude stocks
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